UFC 299 Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds Tonight ft. O’Malley vs. Vera
There’s never a shortage of MMA action, and while some UFC weekends are more high-profile than others, tonight’s action features one of the most anticipated fights in quite some time. That would be the main event between Sean O’Malley and Marlon Vera, and we’re here to add to it with our best UFC 299 predictions.
We’ll be focusing on Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks, but even if you have other UFC 299 picks you want to make, we’ll share how you can do so while claiming a huge $1,000+ DraftKings Sportsbook sign-up bonus.
In North Carolina and having trouble choosing a sportsbook to kick off your sports betting experience now that online sports betting pre-registration is underway? Check out the latest North Carolina Sportsbooks, Best Betting Sites, Apps & Guide.
We also have something for those in CO, MI and VA. Sign up here for a new SI Sportsbook account to claim a 100% deposit match up to $100.
UFC 299 PREDICTION: Sean O’Malley to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+240 at DraftKings)
✍ Sign up at DraftKings ✍ for a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet + daily bonuses after wagering $1+ on anything betting market, like the UFC 299 odds.
Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera Prediction for UFC 299 This Weekend
Before we even get into our best bet, if you haven’t seen the UFC 299 card yet, it’s absolutely loaded. Almost any other weekend, having a fight involving Dustin Poirier would almost certainly be the main event, but not tonight.
He’s facing Benoit Saint-Denis in the co-main event, and we expect a fantastic lightweight matchup. Poirier finds himself as the underdog, but there could be some great value backing him to pull off the upset. When it comes to the main event, our approach is one that takes advantage of some great plus-money odds.
That’s because we’re going to be going against the grain in terms of a glaring trend, but we’ll explain why.
UFC 299 Best Bets & MMA Picks for Today Including Sean O’Malley by KO/TKO/DQ
The trend we referenced is the fact that Marlon Vera has never been defeated by stoppage before. That’s another way of phrasing the best bet from our UFC 299 predictions, as that’s how we expect O’Malley to win tonight.
He’s the overwhelming favorite with a money line of nearly -300, so betting on him just to win outright provides no value. There is also the option to get +100 odds for him to win by decision, but interestingly enough, O’Malley has never gone the distance in a five-round right. So, our best bet is all about the striking differential.
First and foremost, O’Malley is three inches taller than Vera, giving him a significant reach advantage. While that is already a benefit, it goes far beyond that. The differential we’re focused on is strikes landed versus strikes absorbed. Think about it as an NBA team’s points scored versus points allowed.
The greater value the differential is, the better metric the fighter has for sustained success. O’Malley’s differential is greater than four, which is fantastic as it is. Not only is it better than Vera’s, but Vera’s is actually a negative differential! How he’s pulled off so much success with that being the case is certainly impressive, but he’s been taking tons of punishment.
Therefore, we’re making the best bet from our Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks on O’Malley to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+240 at DraftKings).
Activate a $1,000 Bonus Betting on Sean O’Malley at DraftKings Sportsbook
It’s 100% up to you if you’d like to roll with our Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks or make UFC 299 predictions of your own, but by following the steps below, you can bet on anything up to $1,000 and not have to sweat the outcome:
- 🤝 Join DraftKings today through this link 🤝
- Make a first-time deposit of at least $5
- Place a wager of $1+ and up to $1,000
- If it loses, receive a refund as a bonus bet
In other words, your first bet is fully insured with a bonus bet up to $1,000, and that’s only the beginning. Win or lose with your qualifying wager, you also receive a daily Same Game Parlay insurance token to use on any SGP with three or more legs. It’s as generous of a welcome offer as you could ask for, so be sure to join DraftKings today before locking in any UFC 299 best bets.
UFC 299 Odds Including O’Malley vs. Vera Betting Lines
With us focused on Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks, we’ve shared the latest UFC 299 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for the main event below:
- Spread: Sean O’Malley -5.5 (-125) vs. Marlon Vera +5.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Sean O’Malley (-290) vs. Marlon Vera (+205)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 4.5 (-160) vs. Under 4.5 (+124)
- Sean O’Malley by KO/TKO/DQ: +240
- Sean O’Malley by Submission: +1800
- Sean O’Malley by decision: +100
- Draw: +5000
- Marlon Vera by KO/TKO/DQ: +500
- Marlon Vera by Submission: +1600
- Marlon Vera by decision: ++00
So, a $10 wager on the best bet from our Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks profits $24 as long as O’Malley wins by KO/TKO/DQ.
Full UFC 299 Card & Schedule ft. Poirier vs. Saint-Denis
Again, while we focused on Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera picks, we still want you to have the full main card, which we’ve listed below:
- Petr Yan vs. Song Yadong
- Gilbert Burns vs. Jack Della Maddalena
- Kevin Holland vs. Michael Page
- Dustin Poirier vs. Benoit Saint-Denis
- Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera
UFC 299 Date & Time: When is UFC 299?
Last but not least, you’ll certainly want to know when tonight’s action begins so that you can lock in your UFC 299 best bets in time. The prelims begin at 7:00 PM ET tonight, with the main card set to begin at 9:00 PM ET. So, be sure to 👉 create a new account at DraftKings 👈 before the first fights to secure your $1,000+ sign-up bonus.
Enjoyed this article? Further enhance your betting experience with our guides, handpicked for you:
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
The Arena Media Brands, LLC and its partners may receive compensation for links to products and services on this website. The Arena Media Brands editorial team is not involved in the creation of this content.
