5 Bets to Make This Week
This week’s 5 Bets are all about the PGA Tour and the NFL preseason. Let’s pick some winners!
This week’s 5 Bets are all about the NFL and the PGA Tour. I’m starting to get excited about football, and while some people turn their nose up at the preseason, I’m into it, with three NFL bets. One is on a proven preseason winner. And two capitalize on the unders hitting at a 4-to-1 rate last week.
This week, the PGA begins the first of three FedEx Cup Playoff events. The Northern Trust starts Thursday, and I have my eye on one matchup.
The other golf bet is on a longshot who provides great value to win the FedEx Cup. He’s relatively young, but has enough experience to pull off an upset.
This Week’s 5 Bets:
- Baltimore -3.5 over Carolina
- Houston-Dallas under 37.5
- New York Jets-Green Bay under 34
- Dustin Johnson +105 over Collin Morikawa Northern Trust
- Abraham Ancer +2200 to win FedEx Cup
Harbaugh Preseason Streak at 18
Until they prove me wrong, I’ll keep betting on Coach John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens. Currently, Harbaugh is at 18 consecutive preseason victories. I know the streak has to end at some point, but will it really be against the Carolina Panthers?
Just one thing scares me: the line. Oddsmakers set it at 3.5 points, and giving away a number like that is always concerning. The Ravens defeated the New Orleans Saints 17-14 last week; this week, they’re playing a Panthers team that lost in the final minute to the Indianapolis Colts 21-18. Laying 3.5 points in either of those games would have resulted in a loss.
Still, I like Harbaugh to get to 19, even giving away 3.5 points.
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Look for the Under to Rule in Week 2
Last week, the under was 13-3 and I thought sportsbooks would do some adjusting on the lines this week. They did, but in the opposite direction. Instead of making the lines lower, sportsbook operators sent them higher. I know starters will see some action this week, but is two or three series for the starters really worth bumping up the line?
For my first over/under bet this week, I took the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys game. The total is set at 37.5 at BetMGM, and I’ll take the under.
Last week, Houston scored 26 points in its preseason win over the Green Bay Packers. Dallas tallied 16 points. That total is well over the line set for Saturday’s game.
But this game is sort of a rivalry match, and I believe it’ll be played a lot tighter. I know the Cowboys have issues on defense, and admittedly the 26 points Houston hung on Green Bay concerns me. But I’m still of the belief this game will feature more defense than people think.
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Don’t Expect Fireworks with Jets, Packers
These teams didn’t exactly light it up in their games last week. The New York Jets scored 12 points in a victory over the New York Giants, while the Green Bay Packers could only manage seven.
I don’t see anything to indicate they’re going to go touchdown-hunting when they meet at Lambeau Field on Saturday. Jets rookie quarterback Zach Wilson is proven to be serviceable at the position, and with an offensive line that’s not good, will probably not be throwing the ball down field.
With Green Bay starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers probably not seeing any action until the first regular-season game, second-year QB Jordan Love will once again lead the team. Love did just enough to look respectable, but again, I don’t see him slinging the ball around.
The over/under opened at 33.5, but has since moved to 34. I’ll gladly take the under.
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Johnson Will Triumph over Morikawa
Dustin Johnson hasn’t had a great year by his standards, but he can make up for it with a strong finish in the last three tournaments of the PGA Tour season. Johnson won the FedEx Cup Playoffs last year, and while I don’t think he’ll repeat, I do believe he’ll be in the conversation.
The first of three playoff tournaments begins Thursday at the Northern Trust. Johnson tied for 24th here in 2019, and was also 4-0-1 at Liberty National in the 2017 Presidents Cup.
The 37-year-old has a tendency to play well in big events, as evidenced by his tie for 10th in the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
Morikawa is the points leader in the FedEx Cup, but he’s played a lot of golf in the last month, including at the Olympics. I like Johnson at +105 to finish higher than Morikawa at the Northern Trust.
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Ancer Good Longshot For FedEx Cup
Quietly, Abraham Ancer is putting together an impressive season. He has one victory, at the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational, as well as six other Top 10 finishes.
The 30-year-old is currently sixth on the playoff standings and at +2200 is a great value bet to win. Besides, he finished second at this golf course when the Northern Trust was played here in 2019.
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