HomeThe ShuffleProps Are Tops at NFL Draft Party

Props Are Tops at NFL Draft Party

For many gamblers, the real NFL Draft starts after the first two picks. Unexpected picks can turn the whole draft on its ear, have a domino effect on selections, and call for a reshuffle of your online betting strategy.

As we head into Thursday’s NFL Draft, it’s a foregone conclusion that Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Joe Burrow of LSU will be picked by the Cincinnati Bengals. Then, defensive end Chase Young of Ohio State will be taken second, by the Washington Redskins. No brainers, both.

Then, all fun may break loose.

All it takes is for one team to lodge a surprise pick—one selection that goes against the logic and media speculation.

Once that happens, it can throw off the whole draft. Teams will find that players they figured to be unavailable can now be taken. When they change their picks, it’ll have a domino effect on betting.

Trades of order also take place within the draft. This can affect numerous props, including head-to-head wagers over which of two players will be drafted first. There are also bets regarding how many players will be taken from certain conferences, and even when teams will take certain position players.

Other interesting variables include the Miami Dolphins having three first-round selections. That may prompt them to make an unconventional pick. Why not? They’re already guaranteed two players they really want anyway.

Here’s the NFL Draft lineup:

  • Round 1: Thursday, April 25, 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Rounds 2-3: Friday, April 26, 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Rounds 4-7: Saturday, April 27, 12:00 p.m. ET

Here’s a sampling from the large prop-bet display at PlaySugarHouse.com and BetRivers.com.

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Among the books’ position-player props:

  • The first running back drafted: D’Andre Swift, Georgia, -200
  • The first wide receiver drafted: Jerry Jeudy, Alabama, -121
  • The first tight end drafted: Cole Kmet, Notre Dame, -286
  • The first offensive lineman drafted: Tristan Wirfs, Iowa, +120
  • The first defensive lineman drafted: Chase Young, Ohio State, -10000
  • The first linebacker drafted: Isaiah Simmons, Clemson, -10000
  • The first cornerback drafted: Jeffrey Okudah, Ohio State, -10000
  • The first safety drafted: Xavier McKinney, Alabama, -215

PlaySugarHouse.com offers an over/under prop of 4.5 quarterbacks being selected in the first round, with the over at +340 and the under at -455. Tua Tagovailoa of Alabama is -286 to be the second quarterback off the board, followed by Oregon’s Justin Herbert at +180.

Alabama and LSU lead the way on school-specific props, with both having 5.5 over/unders for the number of players selected in the first round.

Tropicana, Virgin—
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Dave Bontempo, a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, has covered sports for the Associated Press, ESPN, HBO and Showtime and called boxing matches on every major network. Dave is a winner of the Sam Taub Award for broadcast excellence given by the Boxing Writers Association of America, and is a member of both the New Jersey Boxing Hall of Fame and the Atlantic City International Boxing Hall of Fame. He writes regularly for sportsquare.com and Global Gaming Business magazine.

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